National Bank looks at the data to find out
With U.S. growth revised upward due to government spending and tax cuts, markets have priced in three Fed rate hikes for 2018. That’s allowed the U.S. dollar to put up a fight against global currencies despite a deficit projected to surpass US$1 trillion in 2019. “Generous long-end spreads versus still-low overseas yields are providing enough […]
With markets attuned to inflation risk and with equity volatility rearing its head, President Trump’s tough talk on trade tariffs isn’t good news. The president has threatened tariffs on aluminum (10%) and steel (25%) imports, with the effect likely being sharply higher domestic metals prices. Douglas Porter, BMO chief economist, estimates in a weekly financial […]
NAFTA negotiations took a more positive tone recently, but if the trade agreement were to go sideways, the Canadian energy sector would see little impact, says a commodity note from Scotiabank. In fact, the sector might see a benefit. Read: Why this PM is overweight energy for 2018 To explain why, the authors first note […]
Already, other currencies are gaining on the greenback
And where the loonie fits in
Expect the Canadian dollar to fall back to mid-70-cent range
The new year is expected to bring tax relief to American businesses. And that’s bad news for business north of the border. For tax rates, “the American system will go from being much more punitive to closer in line with Canada’s—likely a bit below for non-energy companies [and] higher for oil and gas producers,” says […]
Your clients might find it tough to stick to their cash-flow plans in the coming months. That’s because prices could be on the rise. Read: Your guide to inflation-proofing clients’ lives In fact, clients might already find themselves doing double takes at the grocer’s till. If so, they’re not the only ones taking note of […]
It’s been a great year for the loonie. In fact, “over the past six months, the C$ has been the best performing major currency,” note CIBC economists Andrew Grantham and Royce Mendes in a weekly economics report. The loonie’s strength coincides with Canada’s hot GDP streak. However, Canada’s growth is slowing, while that of other […]